Survei LSI: 2 Bulan Kampanye, Elektabilitas Jokowi-Ma’ruf Jauh Tinggalkan Prabowo-Sandiaga

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Gentanusa.com ~ Hasil survei terbaru Lingkaran Survei Indonesia Denny JA (LSI) menunjukkan elektabilitas kedua pasangan capres-cawapres yang berkontestasi pada Pilpres 2019 tidak mengalami peningkatan yang signifikan atau cenderung stagnan selama dua bulan masa kampanye.Berdasarkan hasil survei November 2018, elektabilitas pasangan Jokowi-Ma’ruf berada pada angka 53,2 persen dan Prabowo-Sandiaga sebesar 31,2 persen.

Sementara responden yang masih belum menentukan pilihan sebesar 15,6 persen.

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Peneliti LSI Rully Akbar menilai, elektabilitas yang cenderung staganan karena tidak adanya adu gagasan antara tim kampanye masing-masing pasangan calon.

Menurut Rully, hingga saat ini tim kampanye pasangan nomor urut 01 Joko Widodo-Ma’ruf Amin maupun pasangan nomor urut 02 Prabowo Subianto-Sandiaga Uno, masih berkutat pada isu-isu sensasional dan tidak substantif.

“Akibatnya dua bulan masa kampanye program dikalahkan isu sensasional yang tidak berpengaruh pada kenaikan elektabilitas,” ujar Rully di kantor LSI, Jakarta Timur, Kamis (6/12/2018).

Elektabilitas kedua pasangan, kata Rully, tidak banyak bergerak jika dibandingkan sebelum masa kampanye.

Pada Agustus 2018, LSI mencatat elektabilitas Jokowi-Ma’ruf sebesar 52,2 persen dan Prabowo-Sandiaga 29,5 persen.

Sedangkan responden yang belum menentukan pilihan sebanyak 18,3 persen.

“Pada September dan Oktober kami juga merekam naik turunnya suara kedua kandidat.

Namun naik turunnya suara kedua pasangan selama masa kampanye tidak terlalu signifikan,” kata Rully.

“Jarak kedua kandidat masih tetap di atas 20 persen dengan keunggulan Jokowi-Ma’ruf,” ucapnya.

Rully menilai kedua pasangan calon sebenarnya memiliki program yang diprediksi dapat menambah elektabilitas.

Namun, hingga saat ini pasangan Jokowi-Ma’ruf belum mengampanyekan program secara maksimal.

Begitu juga dengan pasangan Prabowo-Sandiaga.

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